NOTE: the credit for most of the 'heavy lifting' research for this must go to Dibble/Paul Bantick whose contributions to The Minatures Page (the tables are at the very bottom) and Pinterest directed me to the original sources and provided the Pearse list as below)
Looks like there are two issues here (if it is to be the 88th as per the box):
- was the lacing square or pointed?: the consensus above seems to be that it was pointed but other sources, as below, suggest square
- was the lace in pairs or single rows: all sources seem to suggest pairs
The bust is unclear but looks like single to me.
So... what regiments had single, squared lace?
Answering this is complicated as the contemporary/primary sources sometimes differ... even within themselves.
I can't find any original Army Regs though the
1811 General Regulations and Orders make interesting reading (eg what games were forbidden, the wording of receipts for oats and hay, the official allocation of sappers' tools and the wood allowance for officers). However, here are three contemporary sources which are cited in various reference works as:
de Bosset 1803 : this shows the original chart plus a tabulation (Fosten MAA 114). The chart isn't good enough to determine the shapes but the 88th's double laces is clear:
Hamilton Smith 1812: again the original then a tabulation (Fosten MAA 119)... and again the shapes for the 88th aren't too clear but I'd go for pointed (seems that different editions of this list also have variations of colour):
Pearse 1803-1819: military tailors- though not all regiments are listed (does their entry for the 88th suggest that they went from square to pointed?)
And this lists says it's based on all of the above to show lace for regiments that served in the American campaign (and shows 88th as pointed pairs as per Pearse's amendment):
http://www.warof1812.ca/charts/regts_na.htm
So, yer pays yer money and yer takes yer choice... but if it's single/square (as the bust seems to be) then you could try (according to the Pearses): 7/8/16/38/41/42/44/61/65/66/70/74/77/97